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Clinical education · Gene guide

MSH6 gene: Lynch syndrome cancer risk, and why the estimates vary

What a pathogenic MSH6 variant means, why published cancer-risk estimates differ, and when screening starts.

Source review: GeneReviews updated September 17, 2026 and NCCN Version 1.2026. [1,2]

Written by Dr. Wei-Wu He, Ph.D.Published Oct 5, 2026Review cycle · 6 months

Educational information only. This page cannot diagnose Lynch syndrome or cancer and does not replace genetic counselling or individual screening advice.

Medical review required before publication: no named author or medical reviewer was supplied.

01 / 10

What is the MSH6 gene?

The MSH6 gene, on chromosome 2 at 2p16.3, makes a protein that pairs with MSH2 to spot copying mistakes in DNA. A harmful change in one copy of MSH6 causes Lynch syndrome. MSH6 variants account for 12–35% of Lynch cases, and MSH6 and PMS2 are the most prevalent Lynch genes in the population. [1,9]

MSH6 and MSH2 form MutS alpha. NCBI lists the aliases GTBP, HNPCC5, LYNCH5 and MMRCS3. About 1 in 1,000 people in the United States carries an MSH6 variant, according to FORCE citing NIH All of Us; Lynch syndrome overall affects about 1 in 280–600 people. [1,4,9]

“MSH-6” is also the name of a microphone product; this page concerns the inherited human gene. Read the Lynch syndrome overview.

02 / 10

How do MSH6 variants cause Lynch syndrome?

MSH6 variants cause Lynch syndrome by switching off one working copy of a DNA repair gene. The cell repairs DNA normally until a later second hit disables the remaining copy; copying errors then accumulate in that tissue. MSH6-deficient tumours show fewer insertion and deletion errors, so microsatellite tests can read as only mildly unstable. [1,11,12]

This is a loss-of-function mechanism. ClinGen classified the MSH6–Lynch syndrome relationship as Definitive on July 5, 2023. Pathogenicity is assessed with ACMG/AMP principles and the ClinGen MSH6 Variant Curation Expert Panel specification. IHC may be more sensitive than MSI alone for MSH6-deficient tumours. [1,7,10,15]

03 / 10

MSH6 cancer risk by cancer type, age and sex

People with a pathogenic MSH6 variant have a lower colorectal cancer risk than MLH1 or MSH2 carriers, but their endometrial cancer risk is as high as with MLH1. NCCN Version 1.2026 gives 10–44% lifetime colorectal and 16–49% endometrial risk. GeneReviews reports 10% in women and 13% in men for colon cancer and 32% for endometrial cancer by age 65. [1,2,4]

Cumulative risk through age 65

General population and MSH6 carrier cumulative cancer risk through age 65.
CancerGeneral population F / MMSH6 carriers F / M
Colon0.45% / 0.6%10% / 13%
Rectum0.3% / 0.5%4% / 5%
Endometrium0.6%32%
Ovary0.5%3%
Ureter, kidney0.2% / 0.35%3% / 1%
Prostate1% (M)3% (M)
Small bowelUnknown0.6% / 0.7%
Bladder0.1% / 0.35%2% / 3%
Gastric0.3% / 0.6%0.7% / 0.7%
Brain0.2% / 0.25%1% / 1%
Bile ductUnknown0% / 0%
Pancreas0.2% / 0.25%0.7% / 0%

Source: GeneReviews Table 3, updated September 17, 2026, using PLSD data from 8,500 carriers and 71,713 follow-up years. [1]

NCCN lifetime ranges

CancerMSH6 lifetime riskGeneral populationAverage age: MSH6 / general
Colorectal10–44%4%42–69 / 68–72
Endometrial16–49%3.1%53–55 / 60
OvarianUp to 13%1.1%46 / 63
Kidney / ureterUp to 5.5%——
BladderUp to 8.2%——
GastricUnder 1–7.9%——
Small bowelUnder 1–4%——
PancreaticUp to 2%——
ProstateMay be elevated——
Brain0.8–1.8%——
Biliary0.2–1.0%——

NCCN Versions 1.2026 and 1.2027 as reproduced by FORCE on September 24, 2026. [2,3,4]

Why MSH6 estimates differ

SourceEndometrialColorectalWhat it measures
NCCN v1.2026 via FORCE · 24 Sep 202616–49%10–44%Lifetime range, pooled studies
Myriad MSH6 page · 15 Sep 202616–49%10–36%To age 70; no guideline version
eviQ · reviewed 16 Apr 2024About 40%About 20% F / 10% MLifetime; unsourced on page
GeneReviews Table 3 / PLSD · 17 Sep 202632% by 65Colon 10% F / 13% M by 65Prospective, under surveillance
PLSD, eClinicalMedicine · 2023Gynaecological cancers 49.6% by 75n/aCumulative incidence to 75
Dutch family study, Eur J Cancer · Dec 202523% by 80 (95% CI 15–43)36% M (CI 25–48), 21% F (CI 13–32) by 80360 families; 1,117 carriers; ascertainment-adjusted

Estimates spread because studies select different cohorts, adjust for ascertainment differently, stop at different ages and have small numbers for rarer cancers. The Dutch study also estimated ovarian risk at 6.4%, urinary-tract risk at 10.1% in men and 4.1% in women, and biliary risk around 4–5%; it found no increased prostate or breast risk. [1,6]

PLSD reported median onset at 60.0 years for endometrial cancer and 55.1 in men and 60.1 in women for colorectal cancer, with wide confidence intervals. Not everyone develops cancer because penetrance remains below 100%. For sex-specific context, read about endometrial and ovarian cancer in Lynch syndrome. [1,5]

04 / 10

How MSH6 differs from the other Lynch genes

MSH6 carries a lower and later-onset colorectal cancer risk than MLH1 or MSH2, but the same endometrial risk as MLH1 at age 65. PLSD estimates colon cancer by 65 at 10% in women and 13% in men for MSH6, against 36% and 48% for MLH1. [1]

Cancer through 65MSH6MLH1MSH2PMS2
Colon F / M10% / 13%36% / 48%30% / 41.5%3% / 9.5%
Endometrium32%32%38%13%
Ovary3%8%11%2.5%

“Lower risk” applies to the colon, not the uterus. PMS2 estimates rest on 549 carriers and have more uncertainty. Compare the MLH1 gene, MSH2 gene and PMS2 gene. [1]

05 / 10

What does “MSH6 positive” mean?

On a genetic test report, “MSH6 positive” means a pathogenic or likely pathogenic variant was found in MSH6, which establishes Lynch syndrome. On a tumour pathology report, “MSH6 positive” usually means the MSH6 protein is present on staining, the normal result. A variant of uncertain significance neither confirms nor rules out Lynch syndrome. [1,10]

Report contextWhat the result meansWhat happens next
Germline “positive”A pathogenic or likely pathogenic MSH6 variant was identifiedClinical confirmation, genetic counselling, gene-specific surveillance and family testing
Tumour IHC “positive”MSH6 protein is retained or present—the normal staining resultInterpret with MSH2 and the other mismatch-repair proteins
Variant of uncertain significanceEvidence cannot show whether the variant is harmfulDo not use it alone to diagnose Lynch syndrome or make irreversible decisions

Pathogenic and likely pathogenic results are managed alike under ACMG/AMP classification. A germline result starts counselling and confirmatory clinical testing; it is not a diagnosis of cancer. Because MSH6-deficient tumours can be MSI-low, IHC may be more sensitive than MSI alone. Read about tumour MSI and IHC testing. The “present = normal” wording requires pathology review before publication. [1,10,11,12]

06 / 10

How MSH6 variants run in families

An MSH6 variant is inherited in an autosomal dominant pattern: each child of a carrier has a 50% chance of inheriting it, and it does not skip generations. Relatives can be tested for the one known family variant. A child who inherits an MSH6 variant from both parents has a separate, far more severe condition. [1,4]

50%

Each pregnancy is independent. Because MSH6 variants are relatively common and lower-penetrance, many carriers have no striking family history. Cascade testing starts with the exact family variant.

Two pathogenic MSH6 variants can cause constitutional mismatch repair deficiency (CMMRD). Most first tumours occur before 18, and about half of affected children develop cancer by 10. When both parents carry an MSH6 variant, each child has a 25% chance of CMMRD. ClinGen classifies MSH6–CMMRD as Definitive and adult Lynch actionability as Definitive; paediatric actionability for monoallelic Lynch syndrome has insufficient evidence. [1,7,13]

07 / 10

Screening and prevention for MSH6 carriers

For people with an MSH6 variant, NCCN Version 1.2026 advises colonoscopy every 1–3 years starting at age 30–35, later than the 20–25 start for MLH1 and MSH2. GeneReviews gives the same MSH6 schedule. Endometrial biopsy is discussed every 1–2 years from 30–35. Plans are individual and set with a genetic counsellor or clinician. [1,2,4]

AreaWhen to discuss or startInterval / note
ColonoscopyAge 30–35, or 2–5 years before the youngest family colorectal cancerEvery 1–3 years
Endometrial biopsyDiscuss from age 30–35Every 1–2 years
Transvaginal ultrasoundAfter menopauseMay be considered; not a reliable stand-alone screen
Hysterectomy with salpingectomyDiscuss from age 40Individual decision after childbearing
Ovarian risk-reducing surgeryAfter childbearingIndividual decision based on risk, menopause and preferences
Upper endoscopyAge 30–40Every 2–4 years
Urinary-tract screeningDiscuss from age 30–35 with affected relativesEvidence is limited
PSA conversationAge 40Discuss benefits and harms
Pancreatic MRCP / EUSAge 50 with relevant family historyAnnually in an experienced centre
Skin examinationIndividual reviewEvery 1–2 years
AspirinDiscuss with a clinicianDose, duration and bleeding risk require individual review

Guidance is not uniform. eviQ recommends colonoscopy every 1–2 years from 35, while the 2025 Dutch study concluded that screening could start at 35–40. Current NCCN and GeneReviews guidance is shown in the table. Read the detailed colonoscopy schedule and aspirin guide and the guide to endometrial and ovarian cancer in Lynch syndrome. [1,2,6,13]

08 / 10

How MSH6 variants are found, and what testing can miss

MSH6 variants are found by DNA sequencing, with deletion and duplication analysis added, usually inside a multigene panel. Sequencing detects at least 90% of MSH6 pathogenic variants and deletion/duplication analysis up to 10%. Because MSH6-deficient tumours can be mildly unstable, MSI alone can miss them and staining may be more sensitive. A tumour test is a different test. [1,11,12]

Sequence analysis

At least 90%

Share of MSH6 pathogenic variants detected by sequencing in GeneReviews Table 1.

Deletion / duplication

Up to 10%

Requires a copy-number method in addition to sequence analysis.

Share of Lynch

12–35%

Estimated share of Lynch syndrome attributable to MSH6.

Germline testing asks what can be inherited; tumour MSI and IHC examine cancer tissue. A potentially important finding requires confirmation and counselling. Read how Lynch syndrome genetic testing works and tumour MSI and IHC testing. [1]

09 / 10

MSH6 questions people ask

Q1What does MSH6 positive mean?

On a germline report, it means a pathogenic or likely pathogenic MSH6 variant was found and establishes Lynch syndrome. On tumour IHC, “positive” generally means MSH6 protein is present. A positive genetic result is not a cancer diagnosis. [1,10]

Q2Does having MSH6 increase the risk of breast cancer?

ClinGen rated the MSH6–hereditary breast carcinoma relationship Disputed on December 21, 2023. A 2025 Dutch family study found no increased breast cancer risk. Follow general breast screening unless personal or family history supports another plan. [6,7]

Q3What is the life expectancy of someone with Lynch syndrome?

No single life-expectancy figure applies. In carriers under surveillance, PLSD reported mortality of 8% for endometrial, 13% for colon and 15% for ovarian cancer. Outcomes depend on gene, cancer, stage, screening and treatment. [5] Lynch syndrome life expectancy

Q4Should I be worried if I have Lynch syndrome?

MSH6 raises cancer risk, but cancer is not certain. Screening and preventive surgery can reduce risk or find cancer earlier. PLSD found high ten-year survival for several early-detected cancers; discuss an individual plan with a genetic counsellor. [1,5]

Q5Is MSH6 risk lower than MLH1?

For colon cancer, yes: by age 65 GeneReviews reports 10% in women and 13% in men for MSH6, versus 36% and 48% for MLH1. Endometrial risk is 32% for both genes. [1]

Q6Does everyone with an MSH6 variant get cancer?

No. MSH6 has incomplete penetrance, so cancer risk is raised but remains below 100%. Risk changes with age, sex, cancer type, family history and surveillance. [1]

10 / 10

Why whole-genome sequencing, and where it falls short

A whole-genome sequence reads MSH6 along with the rest of the genome in one $599 test, whereas a Lynch panel reads a fixed list of genes. HLI describes a cancer risk assessment covering BRCA1 and BRCA2 among others; its MSH6 and other Lynch-gene coverage is unconfirmed. A genome result is a starting point: confirmatory clinical testing and a genetic counsellor follow. It cannot show existing cancer or tumour MSI/IHC.

RouteWhat it can addImportant limit
Clinical Lynch / multigene panelClinician-ordered after counselling, with deletion/duplication analysis and ClinGen-based classification; often insurance-covered when criteria are metFixed gene list, but the better route for a known family variant or strong personal or family history; WGS is not a substitute
Tumour-first pathwayIHC and MSI on colorectal or endometrial tumour tissue; staining matters because MSH6 tumours may read low on MSINot inherited-DNA testing; WGS does not perform tumour testing
23andMeThe clinician-ordered Total Health exome report lists MLH1, MSH2, MSH6 and PMS2Standard Health Predisposition reports do not include Lynch genes; the listed report is an exome, not a genome, and no price was shown
HLI whole-genome sequenceBroad sequencing may surface an MSH6 finding in someone without a striking family historyAbout 30× average coverage is not guaranteed at every position; MSH6 variant-class performance, VUS handling and confirmation workflow are unpublished

A genome does not guarantee detection of every variant, diagnose Lynch syndrome, show cancer today, replace screening or provide tumour MSI/IHC. HLI has not confirmed whether its report covers MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, PMS2 and EPCAM or whether counselling is included. Compare BRCA1 and BRCA2 risk.

See what the $599 genome service includes

References and review notes

Sources and versions were reviewed October 5, 2026. Publication remains blocked on a named author, named medical reviewer, review date and pathology confirmation that “MSH6 present” is the normal IHC result. HLI Lynch-gene coverage, variant-class performance, VUS handling, confirmation workflow and counselling inclusion remain unverified. Recheck NCCN, GeneReviews and ILSD every six months and whenever revised; next planned review is January 5, 2027.

  1. 01Idos G, Hampel H, Valle L. Lynch Syndrome. GeneReviews. PMID 20301390. Updated September 17, 2026. ↗
  2. 02National Comprehensive Cancer Network. Genetic/Familial High-Risk Assessment: Colorectal, Endometrial, Esophageal, and Gastric, Version 1.2026. Released June 16, 2026. ↗
  3. 03National Comprehensive Cancer Network. Genetic/Familial High-Risk Assessment: Breast, Ovarian, Pancreatic, and Prostate, Version 1.2027. ↗
  4. 04FORCE. Cancer risks and risk management for people with an MSH6 mutation. Updated September 24, 2026. ↗
  5. 05Dominguez-Valentin M, et al. Mortality by age, gene and gender in carriers receiving surveillance. eClinicalMedicine. 2023;58:101909. PMID 37181409. ↗
  6. 06van der Werf-’t Lam AS, et al. Cancer risks for MSH6 pathogenic variant carriers. European Journal of Cancer. 2025;231:116098. ↗
  7. 07ClinGen. MSH6 gene curations: Lynch syndrome Definitive; hereditary breast carcinoma Disputed; CMMRD Definitive. ↗
  8. 08MedlinePlus Genetics. MSH6 gene. ↗
  9. 09NCBI Gene. MSH6 mutS homolog 6. Gene ID 2956. ↗
  10. 10Richards S, et al. Standards and guidelines for interpretation of sequence variants. Genetics in Medicine. 2015;17:405–424. PMID 25741868. ↗
  11. 11Helderman NC, et al. Performance of MSI testing in MSH6-deficient tumours. 2023. ↗
  12. 12Helderman NC, et al. Mismatch-repair testing in MSH6-deficient tumours. 2025. ↗
  13. 13eviQ. MSH6 (monoallelic pathogenic variants) – risk management. Reviewed April 16, 2024. ↗
  14. 14Myriad Genetics. MSH6 gene clinical summary. Reviewed September 15, 2026. ↗
  15. 15ClinGen. MSH6 Variant Curation Expert Panel specifications. ↗
  16. 16International Lynch Syndrome Database transition note. Familial Cancer. 2026;25:71. ↗
  17. 1723andMe. DNA Reports List. Accessed October 5, 2026. ↗